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Ireland's EU treaty vote: Low turnout points to "No" Kim-Mai Cutler and Kosuke Goto Europe was looking anxiously towards Dublin today as early estimates suggested that a "no" vote in Ireland's referendum on the Lisbon Treaty could yet materialise. The official result will not be known until this afternoon, but early forecasts said turn-out was low at around the 40 to 45 per cent mark, a figure thought to favour the "no" camp. Any turnout below 45 per cent is thought unlikely to pass the treaty as its supporters are less likely head to the polls than their diehard opponents.
(Article continues below) However, neither side yet feels confident enough to claim victory. All 27 EU member states have to ratify the pact for it to succeed. Ireland is the only country to hold a referendum on the issue, meaning that a decision affecting the 495 million citizens of the EU lies in the hands of the Irish electorate.
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